United Kingdom Economic Outlook

The economy expanded based on United Kingdom leading indicators. UK composite pmi increased to 54.2 in August 2018 from 53.6 on a Monthly basis, rising by 1.12%. UK manufacturing pmi decreased to 52.8 in August 2018 from 53.8 on a Monthly basis, falling by -1.86%. UK services pmi increased to 54.3 in August 2018 from 53.5 on a Monthly basis, rising by 1.5%. UK construction pmi decreased to 52.9 in August 2018 from 55.8 on a Monthly basis, falling by -5.2%. UK zew economic sentiment index increased to -61 in September 2018 from -59.1 on a Monthly basis, rising by 3.21%. UK Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) decreased to 108.4 in September 2018 from 110 on a Monthly basis, falling by -1.45%. UK Industrial Confidence Indicator decreased to 5.4 in September 2018 from 7.6 on a Monthly basis, falling by -28.95%. UK Services Confidence Indicator increased to 4.9 in September 2018 from 2.5 on a Monthly basis, rising by 96%. UK Consumer Confidence Indicator increased to -5.8 in September 2018 from -3.6 on a Monthly basis, rising by 61.11%. UK Retail Confidence Indicator decreased to 5 in September 2018 from 14.5 on a Monthly basis, falling by -65.52%. UK Construction Confidence Indicator increased to -2.6 in September 2018 from -2.4 on a Monthly basis, rising by 8.33%.

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United Kingdom Data

Economic Variable Type Last Previous Return
UK composite pmi Composite PMI 54,20 53.6 0,00
UK manufacturing pmi Manufacturing PMI 52,80 53.8 -1,86
UK services pmi Services PMI 54,30 53.5 1,50
UK construction pmi Construction PMI 52,90 55.8 -5,20
UK zew economic sentiment index Zew economic sentiment index -61,00 -59.1 3,21
UK Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) 108,40 110 -1,45
UK Industrial Confidence Indicator Industrial Confidence Indicator 5,40 7.6 -28,95
UK Services Confidence Indicator Services Confidence Indicator 4,90 2.5 96,00
UK Consumer Confidence Indicator Consumer Confidence Indicator -5,80 -3.6 61,11
UK Retail Confidence Indicator Retail Confidence Indicator 5,00 14.5 -65,52
UK Construction Confidence Indicator Construction Confidence Indicator -2,60 -2.4 8,33
UK Industrial Production YoY industrial production 0,90 1.1
UK Industrial Production MoM industrial production mom 0,10 0.4
UK retail sales MoM retail sales 0,30 0.9
UK retail sales YoY retail sales annual 3,90 1.4
UK capacity utilization capacity utilization
UK consumer price index cpi consumer price index cpi 100,00 99.3
UK producer prices producer prices 114,20 114
UK producer prices change producer prices change
UK money supply m2 money supply m2 2.371.550,00 2371260
UK interbank rate Interbank Rate
UK banks balance sheet banks balance sheet
UK central bank balance sheet central bank balance sheet
UK government debt to gdp government debt to gdp
UK households debt to gdp households debt to gdp
UK private debt to gdp private debt to gdp
UK exports Exports 54.378,00 53334
UK car registrations Car Registrations 94.094,00 163898
UK unemployment rate Unemployment rate 4,00 4
UK youth unemployment rate Youth Unemployment rate 11,00 11.2
UK long term unemployment rate Long term unemployment rate
UK gdp GDP 0,40 0.2
UK balance of trade balance of trade -111,00 -942
UK current account Current account
UK government budget Government budget
UK government budget value Government budget value
UK interest rate interest rate 0,75 0.75
UK imports Imports 54.489,00 54276

United Kingdom Overview

United Kingdom Leading Indicators remained stable to .UK composite pmi in United Kingdom averaged 55.82 from 2013 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 61.8 Monthly in 2013-10-01 and a record low of 47.4 Monthly in 2016-07-01.UK manufacturing pmi in United Kingdom averaged 52.06 from 2008 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 61.5 Monthly in 2011-01-01 and a record low of 34.4 Monthly in 2008-11-01.UK services pmi in United Kingdom averaged 53.97 from 2007 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 62.5 Index Points in 2013-10-01 and a record low of 40.1 Index Points in 2008-11-01.UK construction pmi in United Kingdom averaged 51.92 from 2008 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 64.6 Monthly in 2014-01-01 and a record low of 27.8 Monthly in 2009-02-01.UK zew economic sentiment index in United Kingdom averaged 0.28 from 1991 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 61 Monthly in 1993-07-01 and a record low of -77.2 Monthly in 2016-07-01.UK Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) in United Kingdom averaged 99.81 from 1980 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 125.4 Monthly in 1988-01-01 and a record low of 58.1 Monthly in 1980-09-01.UK Industrial Confidence Indicator in United Kingdom averaged -8.06 from 1980 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 21.6 Monthly in 1988-01-01 and a record low of -51.3 Monthly in 1980-09-01.UK Services Confidence Indicator in United Kingdom averaged 4.56 from 1997 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 36.1 Monthly in 1997-10-01 and a record low of -57.4 Monthly in 2009-03-01.UK Consumer Confidence Indicator in United Kingdom averaged -8.5 from 1985 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 7.6 Monthly in 2014-05-01 and a record low of -35.2 Monthly in 2009-01-01.UK Retail Confidence Indicator in United Kingdom averaged 4.36 from 1984 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 30.2 Monthly in 1984-06-01 and a record low of -47.1 Monthly in 2009-01-01.UK Construction Confidence Indicator in United Kingdom averaged -18.42 from 1980 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 43.1 Monthly in 1989-03-01 and a record low of -79.3 Monthly in 1991-06-01.

United Kingdom Industrial Production UK Industrial Production YoY decreased to 0.9 in July 2018 from 1.1 on a Monthly basis, falling by -18.18%. UK Industrial Production MoM decreased to 0.1 in July 2018 from 0.4 on a Monthly basis, falling by -75%. UK Industrial Production YoY in United Kingdom averaged 0.34 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 6.8 % in 1988-09-01 and a record low of -11.4 % in 2009-08-01. UK Industrial Production MoM in United Kingdom averaged 0.03 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 2.6 % in 2012-07-01 and a record low of -4.7 % in 2002-06-01.

United Kingdom Construction Sector UK construction pmi decreased to 52.9 in August 2018 from 55.8 on a Monthly basis, falling by -5.2%. UK Construction Confidence Indicator increased to -2.6 in September 2018 from -2.4 on a Monthly basis, rising by 8.33%. UK construction pmi in United Kingdom averaged 51.92 from 2008 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 64.6 Monthly in 2014-01-01 and a record low of 27.8 Monthly in 2009-02-01. UK Construction Confidence Indicator in United Kingdom averaged -18.42 from 1980 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 43.1 Monthly in 1989-03-01 and a record low of -79.3 Monthly in 1991-06-01.

United Kingdom Inflation UK consumer price index cpi increased to 100 in August 2018 from 99.3 on a Monthly basis, rising by 0.7%. UK producer prices increased to 114.2 in August 2018 from 114 on a Monthly basis, rising by 0.18%. UK consumer price index cpi in United Kingdom averaged 105.27 from 1991 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 385.2 Index Points in 1992-01-01 and a record low of 98.2 Index Points in 2002-06-01. UK producer prices in United Kingdom averaged 88.39 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 114.2 Index Points in 2018-08-01 and a record low of 59 Index Points in 1988-06-01.

United Kingdom Trade UK exports increased to 54378 in July 2018 from 53334 on a Monthly basis, rising by 1.96%. UK balance of trade decreased to -111 in July 2018 from -942 on a Monthly basis, falling by -88.22%. UK imports increased to 54489 in July 2018 from 54276 on a Monthly basis, rising by 0.39%. UK exports in United Kingdom averaged 30058.5 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 54378 GBP Million in 2018-07-01 and a record low of 11523 GBP Million in 1992-01-01. UK balance of trade in United Kingdom averaged -2095.66 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 1081 GBP Million in 1997-01-01 and a record low of -6225 GBP Million in 2016-09-01. UK imports in United Kingdom averaged 32154.2 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 55585 GBP Million in 2017-11-01 and a record low of 11899 GBP Million in 1992-01-01.

United Kingdom Labor Market UK unemployment rate decreased to 4 in July 2018 from 4 on a Monthly basis, falling by 0%. UK youth unemployment rate decreased to 11 in June 2018 from 11.2 on a Monthly basis, falling by -1.79%. UK unemployment rate in United Kingdom averaged 6.76 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 10.7 % in 1993-02-01 and a record low of 4 % in 2018-07-01. UK youth unemployment rate in United Kingdom averaged 14.66 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 22.3 % in 2011-12-01 and a record low of 9.7 % in 1989-08-01.

United Kingdom Economic Policy UK money supply m2 increased to 2.37155e+006 in July 2018 from 2.37126e+006 on a Monthly basis. UK balance of trade decreased to -111 in July 2018 from -942 on a Monthly basis. UK interest rate remained stable at 0.75 in September 2018. UK money supply m2 in United Kingdom averaged 1.21413e+006 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 2.37358e+006 GBP Million in 2018-05-01 and a record low of 307435 GBP Million in 1988-05-01. UK balance of trade in United Kingdom averaged -2095.66 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 1081 GBP Million in 1997-01-01 and a record low of -6225 GBP Million in 2016-09-01. UK interest rate in United Kingdom averaged 5.22 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 15 % in 1989-10-05 and a record low of 0.25 % in 2016-08-04.

United Kingdom Market Data

Market Variable Type Last Previous Close Return 1 Week Return
FTSE 100 Stock Market Index 12,34 2,50
iShares MSCI United Kingdom (EWU) Stock Market ETF
British Pound FX 1,31 1,09
United Kingdom 10-Year Bond Yield Bonds
UK 2-year bond yield Bonds
UK 10-2 yield spread Bond Spreads
United Kingdom Sovereign Credit Default Swaps 1,99 6,21
VODAFONE GROUP PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY Corporate Credit Default Swaps 13,00 12.5 17,24 3,03
WPP 2005 LIMITED Corporate Credit Default Swaps 18,00 17.5 -4,46 -15,08
EXPERIAN FINANCE PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 11,50 11.25 -11,90 -2,63
GLAXOSMITHKLINE PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 6,00 7 -5,08 -3,45
MARKS AND SPENCER plc Corporate Credit Default Swaps 26,75 26.75 3,95 -9,20
NEXT PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 20,50 22.25 17,76 -14,87
ASTRAZENECA PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 5,00 6 -7,84 23,68
BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO plc Corporate Credit Default Swaps 13,00 14.5 16,88 -26,23
WOOLWORTHS LTD Corporate Credit Default Swaps 3,00 2 0,00 20,63
DIAGEO PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 6,00 7 -35,29 -35,29
IMPERIAL TOBACCO GROUP PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 14,50 16 33,33 -19,15
MATALAN FINANCE PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 254,95 423.55 14,21 2,21
NEW LOOK SENIOR ISSUER PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 8.950,16 5940.87 -0,64 -12,86
SAFEWAY LIMITED Corporate Credit Default Swaps 10,50 5 0,00 84,62
Pizzaexpress Financing 1 PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 1.104,61 1092.81 9,34 -0,34
RELX PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 11,00 10.5 -33,33 -76,19
ARDAGH PACKAGING FINANCE PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY Corporate Credit Default Swaps 23,90 20.49 31,04 -3,28
TATE & LYLE PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY Corporate Credit Default Swaps 10,50 12 8,82 -15,91
GKN HOLDINGS PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 20,75 32.25 -7,06 -25,47
BP PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 8,50 9 45,45 -40,74
KINGFISHER PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 18,00 15 44,44 1,11
BARCLAYS BANK PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 32,50 31 8,16 1,92
 Barclays PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 34,50 31 0,75 7,14
Aegon NV Corporate Credit Default Swaps 21,50 22 0,00 10,00
HEATHROW FUNDING LIMITED Corporate Credit Default Swaps 24,00 22.5 14,18 29,66
AVIVA PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 20,50 16 0,00 -7,14
PRUDENTIAL PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY Corporate Credit Default Swaps 18,50 16 11,36 13,95
The Royal Bank of Scotland public limited company Corporate Credit Default Swaps 43,00 41.5 12,02 21,35
HAMMERSON PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 24,00 25 10,53 14,55
HSBC BANK PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 15,50 14 -5,65 58,11
HSBC HOLDINGS plc Corporate Credit Default Swaps 24,50 20.5 0,00 -21,43
LLOYDS BANK PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 15,00 17.5 36,36 27,66
 LLOYDS BANKING GROUP PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 29,50 26.5 0,88 -0,87
The Royal Bank Of Scotland Group public limited company Corporate Credit Default Swaps 44,50 39.5 3,00 6,59
STANDARD CHARTERED BANK Corporate Credit Default Swaps 11,25 14 21,05 12,20
 STANDARD CHARTERED PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 20,00 17.5 1,12 0,56
BAE SYSTEMS PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 12,50 13.5 18,03 -14,29
BOUYGUES Corporate Credit Default Swaps 10,50 12 36,84 -13,33
NATIONAL GRID PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 13,50 11.5 -6,67 -63,16
ROLLS-ROYCE PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 13,50 13.5 23,17 -0,98
 Centrica plc Corporate Credit Default Swaps 20,00 19.75 -5,88 -4,95
E.ON SE Corporate Credit Default Swaps 7,00 8.5 7,14 -16,67
SSE PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 15,50 12 7,32 -45,00
UNITED UTILITIES PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 15,00 14 20,00 -45,45
CABLE & WIRELESS LIMITED Corporate Credit Default Swaps 25,26 28.87 -6,22 -3,12
VIRGIN MEDIA FINANCE PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 25,87 27.86 -0,04 24,50
ALGECO GLOBAL FINANCE PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 86,66 86.71 19,53 9,12
BRITISH AIRWAYS plc Corporate Credit Default Swaps 16,04 17.54 16,94 1,62
Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV Corporate Credit Default Swaps 28,91 25.42 5,01 -40,80
International Game Technology PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 25,94 33.43 24,05 -0,14
LADBROKES PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 26,00 23 800,00 0,00
Iceland Bondco PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 65,57 61.07 1,66 -20,50
EPHIOS HOLDCO II PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 28,56 18.66 6,59 421,73
Premier Foods Finance PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 34,91 32.86 -1,65 -33,35
Picard Bondco SA Corporate Credit Default Swaps 173,24 141.98 78,54 6,79
Stonegate Pub Company Financing PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 32,46 37.46 83,52 57,53
THOMAS COOK GROUP PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 56,47 61.52 11,60 12,16
JAGUAR LAND ROVER AUTOMOTIVE PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 69,05 55.47 -1,41 5,32
VOUGEOT BIDCO PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 44,17 43.69 2,59 -9,52
Boparan Finance PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 307,98 265.4 1,07 5,63
CARE UK HEALTH & SOCIAL CARE PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 45,46 49.82 -0,03 -1,43
J SAINSBURY plc Corporate Credit Default Swaps 15,00 17 2,68 -8,73
TESCO PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 17,00 15.5 9,43 -21,62
GARFUNKELUX HOLDCO 2 SA Corporate Credit Default Swaps 117,71 107.71 1,02 5,02
CNH Industrial NV Corporate Credit Default Swaps 14,68 10.13 43,31 -61,07
Dry Mix Solutions Investissements Corporate Credit Default Swaps 11,56 23.58 7,28 11,57
Public Power Corporation Finance PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 149,40 121.95 -10,56 -3,71
Anglo American plc Corporate Credit Default Swaps 20,95 22.68 -7,19 -28,81
BRITISH TELECOMMUNICATIONS - BT Corporate Credit Default Swaps 13,50 17.5 11,11 -2,44
Sky PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 2,50 6 0,00 -30,77
ITV PLC Corporate Credit Default Swaps 26,32 24.34 12,99 9,10
Orange Corporate Credit Default Swaps 8,50 7 21,05 15,00
PEARSON plc Corporate Credit Default Swaps 9,00 9 -1,92 -5,56

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