Brazil Economic Outlook

The economy contracted based on Brazil leading indicators. Brazil composite pmi decreased to 47.8 in August 2018 from 50.4 on a Monthly basis, falling by -5.16%. Brazil manufacturing pmi increased to 51.1 in August 2018 from 50.5 on a Monthly basis, rising by 1.19%. Brazil services pmi decreased to 46.8 in August 2018 from 50.4 on a Monthly basis, falling by -7.14%.

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Brazil Data

Economic Variable Type Last Previous Return
Brazil composite pmi Composite PMI 47,80 50.4 -100,00
Brazil manufacturing pmi Manufacturing PMI 51,10 50.5 0,00
Brazil services pmi Services PMI 46,80 50.4 -100,00
Brazil Industrial Production YoY industrial production 4,00 3.4
Brazil Industrial Production MoM industrial production mom -0,20 12.9
Brazil retail sales MoM retail sales -0,50 -0.4
Brazil retail sales YoY retail sales annual 6,50 1.5
Brazil capacity utilization capacity utilization
Brazil consumer price index cpi consumer price index cpi 5.056,56 5061.11
Brazil producer prices producer prices 753,28 745.89
Brazil producer prices change producer prices change
Brazil money supply m2 money supply m2 2.589.690,00 2556070
Brazil banks balance sheet banks balance sheet
Brazil central bank balance sheet central bank balance sheet
Brazil government debt to gdp government debt to gdp
Brazil households debt to gdp households debt to gdp
Brazil exports Exports 22.552,00 22870
Brazil car registrations Car Registrations 249,00 217
Brazil unemployment rate Unemployment rate 12,30 12.4
Brazil gdp GDP 2.055,51 1793.99
Brazil balance of trade balance of trade 3.775,00 4227
Brazil current account Current account
Brazil government budget Government budget
Brazil government budget value Government budget value -29.162,00 -57900
brazil interest rate interest rate 6,50 6.5
brazil imports Imports 18.777,00 18643

Brazil Overview

Brazil Leading Indicators remained stable to .Brazil composite pmi in Brazil averaged 48.57 from 2011 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 55.5 Index in 2012-02-01 and a record low of 38.3 Index in 2016-05-01.Brazil manufacturing pmi in Brazil averaged 48.87 from 2012 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 53.5 Monthly in 2017-11-01 and a record low of 41.6 Monthly in 2016-05-01.Brazil services pmi in Brazil averaged 48.3 from 2011 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 57.1 Index Points in 2012-02-01 and a record low of 36.9 Index Points in 2016-02-01.

Brazil Industrial Production Brazil Industrial Production YoY increased to 4 in July 2018 from 3.4 on a Monthly basis, rising by 17.65%. Brazil Industrial Production MoM decreased to -0.2 in July 2018 from 12.9 on a Monthly basis, falling by -101.55%. Brazil Industrial Production YoY in Brazil averaged 1.13 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 37.2 % in 1991-04-01 and a record low of -27.7 % in 1990-04-01. Brazil Industrial Production MoM in Brazil averaged 0.12 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 25.1 % in 1990-05-01 and a record low of -24.4 % in 1990-04-01.

Brazil Retail Sector Brazil retail sales MoM increased to -0.5 in July 2018 from -0.4 on a Monthly basis, rising by 25. Brazil retail sales YoY increased to 6.5 in March 2018 from 1.5 on a Monthly basis, rising by 333.33. Brazil car registrations increased to 249 in August 2018 from 217 on a Monthly basis, rising by 14.75. Brazil retail sales MoM in Brazil averaged 0.29 from 2000 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 4.1 % in 2017-01-01 and a record low of -2.5 % in 2016-01-01. Brazil retail sales YoY in Brazil averaged 3.74 from 2001 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 15.7 % in 2010-03-01 and a record low of -11.4 % in 2003-03-01. Brazil car registrations in Brazil averaged 166.86 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 420 Thousand in 2012-08-01 and a record low of 30 Thousand in 1992-03-01.

Brazil Inflation Brazil consumer price index cpi decreased to 5056.56 in August 2018 from 5061.11 on a Monthly basis, falling by -0.09%. Brazil producer prices increased to 753.28 in August 2018 from 745.89 on a Monthly basis, rising by 0.99%. Brazil consumer price index cpi in Brazil averaged 2170.58 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 5061.11 Index Points in 2018-07-01 and a record low of 0 Index Points in 1988-06-01. Brazil producer prices in Brazil averaged 300.71 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 753.28 Index Points in 2018-08-01 and a record low of 0 Index Points in 1988-06-01.

Brazil Trade Brazil exports decreased to 22552 in August 2018 from 22870 on a Monthly basis, falling by -1.39%. Brazil balance of trade decreased to 3775 in August 2018 from 4227 on a Monthly basis, falling by -10.69%. brazil imports increased to 18777 in August 2018 from 18643 on a Monthly basis, rising by 0.72%. Brazil exports in Brazil averaged 9685.35 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 26158.5 USD Million in 2011-08-01 and a record low of 1974.46 USD Million in 1990-02-01. Brazil balance of trade in Brazil averaged 1549.87 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 7661.35 USD Million in 2017-05-01 and a record low of -4066.52 USD Million in 2014-01-01. brazil imports in Brazil averaged 8135.48 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 23061.1 USD Million in 2013-10-01 and a record low of 1030.43 USD Million in 1989-04-01.

Brazil Labor Market Brazil unemployment rate decreased to 12.3 in July 2018 from 12.4 on a Monthly basis, falling by -0.81%. Brazil unemployment rate in Brazil averaged 9.32 from 2012 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 13.7 % in 2017-03-01 and a record low of 6.2 % in 2013-12-01.

Brazil Economic Policy Brazil money supply m2 increased to 2.58969e+006 in July 2018 from 2.55607e+006 on a Monthly basis. Brazil balance of trade decreased to 3775 in August 2018 from 4227 on a Monthly basis. Brazil government budget value decreased to -29162 in July 2018 from -57900 on a Monthly basis. brazil interest rate remained stable at 6.5 in May 2018. Brazil money supply m2 in Brazil averaged 769775 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 2.58969e+006 BRL Million in 2018-07-01 and a record low of 0.01 BRL Million in 1988-07-01. Brazil balance of trade in Brazil averaged 1549.87 from 1988 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 7661.35 USD Million in 2017-05-01 and a record low of -4066.52 USD Million in 2014-01-01. Brazil government budget value in Brazil averaged -14874 from 1998 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 18626.1 BRL Million in 2018-01-01 and a record low of -123821 BRL Million in 2015-12-01. brazil interest rate in Brazil averaged 15.27 from 1999 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 45 % in 1999-03-05 and a record low of 6.5 % in 2018-03-21.

Brazil Market Data

Market Variable Type Last Previous Close Return 1 Week Return
Bovespa (BVSP) Stock Market Index
iShares MSCI Brazil Small-Cap ETF Stock Market ETF
Brazil Real FX 0,27 -0,41
Brazil 10-Year Bond Yield Bonds
Brazil 2-year bond yield Bonds
Brazil Sovereign Credit Default Swaps -0,88 -4,84
VALE SA Corporate Credit Default Swaps 73,00 80.5 0,00 0,00
PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA PETROBRAS Corporate Credit Default Swaps 128,50 94 0,00 2,43

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